Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.530379 0.586018 0.645972 0.715533 0.794215 0.880673 0.983167
2025-09-14 0.433312 0.508609 0.595831 0.704989 0.838855 0.998830 1.206226
2025-09-21 0.378268 0.461984 0.563728 0.697760 0.871584 1.092018 1.396953
2025-09-28 0.330558 0.416043 0.523809 0.671527 0.871712 1.137913 1.526152
2025-10-05 0.308926 0.399606 0.517818 0.685933 0.923361 1.253691 1.760768
2025-10-12 0.290076 0.384287 0.510769 0.696613 0.968994 1.363857 1.999363
2025-10-19 0.272287 0.368386 0.500804 0.701137 1.004754 1.461764 2.230306
2025-10-26 0.256702 0.353979 0.491233 0.704522 1.037972 1.557894 2.469481
2025-11-02 0.244079 0.342611 0.484758 0.711322 1.076177 1.664733 2.739580
2025-11-09 0.227061 0.323457 0.465114 0.695746 1.076572 1.708966 2.905236
2025-11-16 0.217442 0.314577 0.460121 0.702473 1.113491 1.817675 3.201817
2025-11-23 0.205939 0.301986 0.448376 0.697031 1.128890 1.889827 3.438535
2025-11-30 0.196940 0.292858 0.441663 0.699727 1.159300 1.993559 3.756246
2025-12-07 0.185905 0.279848 0.427869 0.689322 1.165410 2.053028 3.993132
2025-12-14 0.176541 0.268905 0.416640 0.682287 1.176679 2.123046 4.262759
2025-12-21 0.164437 0.252810 0.395855 0.656744 1.150829 2.116919 4.362205
2025-12-28 0.160562 0.250001 0.397139 0.670771 1.201625 2.270744 4.853518
2026-01-04 0.156300 0.246263 0.396534 0.681171 1.246152 2.416675 5.352496
2026-01-11 0.151322 0.241011 0.392923 0.685575 1.278909 2.541109 5.821048
2026-01-18 0.146500 0.235746 0.388934 0.688871 1.309560 2.664395 6.310047
2026-01-25 0.142492 0.231665 0.386780 0.695490 1.347718 2.809288 6.886217
2026-02-01 0.135555 0.222079 0.374084 0.680326 1.337514 2.839805 7.147290
2026-02-08 0.132120 0.218545 0.372290 0.686875 1.375527 2.990466 7.789113